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Alex Cook

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This is unclear and potentially misleading. Whether or not there’s an increase in arrears there will be an increase in claims. Why? Even if coronavirus hasn’t led to an increase in T’s not paying rent the mere fact that claims have not been possible for months means there’s a backlog. That’s based on the natural run rate of pre covid 19 claim levels. On that basis alone there are over 30,000 claims waiting to be issued and that’s if Covid has caused no additional claims whatsoever. The message should be a simple one- only c.2% tenancies require a claim and only c.35% claims are pursued by the PRS (the rest/majority by housing associations and local authorities). There WILL be an increase in claims but that’s because for 5 months there haven’t been any. Usually there are c.25,000 per quarter even though the number has been falling for years. In August-December the courts will have to process all the backlogged claims waiting for those 5 months AND the natural run rate of claims that would always have been necessary even w/o Coronavirus. And it’s that volume that will create issues and cause claims to surge. Mostly this will be a problem, ironically, for housing associations as they issue c.60-65% claims anyway, as above. Alex Cook- Helix Law

From: Alex Cook 12 August 2020 13:25 PM

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